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Althoughtheir majority has shrunk recently, actors are still the largest and most influential branch of the Academy.

How likely are each of the SAG winners to repeat at the Oscars?
Lets run down the contenders, from most to least likely.
They started talking themselves into bad boy Benedict Cumberbatch, or the adorable Andrew Garfield.
Smiths SAG win snapped everything back into place.
(A subtle way of underlining the age gap with his young rival?)
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain,The Eyes of Tammy FayeWelcome to the madhouse.
(In that event, shed better thankthe Ting-Tings.)