Save this article to read it later.

Find this story in your accountsSaved for Latersection.

Like everyone else, the Oscars hoped things would be back to normal by now.

Article image

That was not to be.

There are no hands to shake, no babies to kiss.

With no televised acceptance speeches with which to bring down the house, no front-runner feels truly secure.

But that also means its harder to tell which narratives are real and which exist solely on Film Twitter.

When I say drive my car, do you think John and Paul orUncle Vanya?

In a season that has been anything but normal, prepare for some surprises.

Ahead of Tuesday mornings announcement, here are Vultures predictions in eight major categories.

Right now, they form the second tier, but theres still plenty of season ahead.

We truly are living in a new world.

(Somewhere in the Pacific Palisades, a single tear rolls down Bradley Coopers cheek.)

If an outsider does sneak in, they probably wont be American.

For three years running, this increasingly international branch has nominated a foreign-language filmmaker.

But which DGA nominee does he push out?

Smith and Cumberbatch leaped to the top of the rankings with star turns at Telluride.

However, DiCaprios BAFTA nod has me leaning Leo.

(They didnt go for Emma Corrin inThe Crowneither.)

Which way you go with the last slot depends on how you interpret theBAFTA nominations.

(Warning: Were getting into the weeds here.)

Gaga was likely one of the top two, but who was the other?

(The sole exception, weirdly, wasHouse of Gucci.

)King Richardhasnt missed anywhere else, so I think Ellis makes the bracket.

AsLovingproved, never underestimate the power of Negga and gerunds.

That leavesWest Side Story,Drive My Car, andThe Tragedy of Macbethin the mix for the final spot.

More From This Series

Tags: