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Picture and Original Screenplay nominations feel like locks, and three acting noms is probably the floor.

In the first sampling of actual Academy members,EEAAOmissed the cut in Visual Effects and Makeup & Hairstyling.
But its reputation as the early Best Picture frontrunner may be working against it.
(That the films fanbase skews significantly older thanSpider-Man: No Way Homes also helps.)
If Joseph Kosinski starts to crack the Best Director lineups, well knowMaverickis a bonafide threat.
Does it cannibalizeTop Gun, or doesTop Guncannibalize it?
But why should we give those people all the power?
But its tracking well, and its hometown advantage and impeccable crafts have kept it in the race.
Plus, it helps thatGlass Onionhas become Netflixs top priority almost by default.
Could Edward Berger be this years token foreign-language director?
(Thank God it got in there.)
Thefree showingsin New York City over the holidays are a fun stunt.
*After this week, Oscar Futures is taking a holiday break.
We will return in January.