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How long has this Oscar season lasted?
WhenNomadlanddebuted at the Venice Film Festival, the presidential election was still two months away.
(Mercifully, there seems to have been less behind-the-scenes skulduggery, too.)
That may be so.
Will that hold true for the winners as well?
Lets run down each of the2423 categories and see.
In a more conventional year, it might have been overshadowed by larger, louder contenders.
This year, its the front-runner for a reason.
The only question is how many other trophies will it win?
(And who afterwardwent to space.)
Shes the lockiest lock of the night.
For much of the season, I felt this was Mulligans to lose.
But shes underperformed at the precursors, including a baffling snub by the BAFTAs new jury system.
Day has the most awards-friendly role but is repping a film with no other nominations.
Make it three for the Best Picture front-runner.
But since the Globes,Daniel Kaluuyas electric turn as Fred Hampton has steamrolled the televised precursors.
His co-star Stanfield may split off some of the vote here, but not enough to make a difference.
(I treasure her reaction to being pranked by her grandson.)
ButPromising Young WomansEmerald Fennell has usurped his buzz, winning the WGA Award and the BAFTA.
Its too visual, too improvised.
The latter reason is also why I have a hard time seeing WGA winnerBoratemerging triumphant here.
Best International Feature
Another RoundBetter DaysCollectiveThe Man Who Sold His SkinQuo Vadis, Aida?
(Most recently in 2013, forThe Girl With the Dragon Tattoo.)
If given the chance to pickHusavik,would you pass it up?
The elves have got us on this one.
In one corner, black-and-white chiaroscuro.
In the other, sweeping magic-hour vistas of the American West.
ThoughMankjust won the ASC prize, I expectNomandlands Best Picture heat to give it the edge here.
1 on Gold Derby.
Best Live-Action Short
Feeling ThroughThe Letter RoomThe PresentTwo Distant StrangersWhite Eye
Oof.
Lets just say its of a piece with past winnerSkinand leave it at that.
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